Under the old plan a 55-litre tank would have cost £1.98 more from 1 January 2027 (3p plus VAT) and £3.30 more from 1 March (5p plus VAT). For a driver doing 10,000 miles a year at 45mpg, about 84 litres a month, the cancelled rises are worth about £26 between January and June 2027 (our calculation: two months at 3.6p a litre and four months at 6p). At the UK average 7,400 miles it is about £19. Both figures leave out the RPI rise that had been planned for April 2027 and is now deferred to July, so the real saving against the old plan is a little larger.
Our calculation of the extra duty and VAT for a full year at 60.59p against 52.95p, if retailers pass the rise on in full:
Our calculation: litres = miles x 4.54609 / mpg; extra = litres x 7.64p x 1.2. Petrol and diesel pay the same duty rate.
| Fuel economy | 7,400 miles | 10,000 miles | 12,000 miles |
| 35mpg (large petrol car, SUV) | £88.12 | £119.08 | £142.90 |
| 45mpg (typical petrol hatchback) | £68.54 | £92.62 | £111.14 |
| 55mpg (small diesel or hybrid) | £56.08 | £75.78 | £90.94 |
In pence per mile, a 45mpg car pays 5.35p in duty now (6.42p with VAT on it) and 6.12p from July 2027 (7.35p with VAT). Electric cars do not pay fuel duty; from April 2028 they pay eVED at 3p a mile instead (see our Budget 2026 guide for electric car drivers).
To see what your own car uses, enter its reg in the free fuel cost calculator. It reads the engine and fuel type from DVLA and works out the cost per mile, month and year at current pump prices.
The extra 3.7p cut on red diesel, used by farms, construction and rail freight, is extended to 1 July 2027 (paragraph 6.212). HMRC's tables show red diesel at 6.48p a litre until 30 June 2027 and 11.65p from 1 July 2027. Most HGVs keep the £1 annual vehicle tax (VED) rate on licences taken out between 1 July 2026 and 30 June 2027 (paragraph 6.200). The government puts the saving from its fuel duty decisions this Parliament at £472 for the average van driver and nearly £4,000 for the average HGV driver.
- Know your real cost per mile. The fuel cost calculator does it by reg. Over a year the gap between a 35mpg and a 55mpg car is far bigger than the duty rise: at 10,000 miles and today's petrol price it is about £825 (£2,267 against £1,443, our calculation).
- Changing car? Our cheapest cars to run list and running cost comparison show fuel, tax and insurance side by side. Then check the one you choose: free MOT and mileage history, and the £4.99 history check for finance, write-off and stolen records.
- Drive for work? The 55p tax-free mileage rate is now permanent. See our mileage allowance guide.
- Keep the car healthy. Under-inflated tyres and dragging brakes cost fuel and are among the most common MOT failures. The free MOT history check shows past advisories.
Every other motoring change in the Budget, including car tax from April 2027, is in our Budget 2026 guide for drivers.
- HM Treasury, Budget 2026, paragraphs 3.2, 3.12, 3.13, 3.15, 6.200, 6.211 and 6.212.
- HMRC, OOTLAR section 2.18 and Annex A fuel duty table (rates from 15 June 2026 to 30 June 2027 and from 1 July 2027).
- HMRC, Amended fuel duty rates for 2026 to 2027 (22 May 2026), the rates in law before the Budget, and HM Treasury, Budget 2025 policy costings (RPI uprating planned from 1 April 2027).
- DESNZ, Weekly road fuel prices, week of 19 October 2026.
See What Your Own Car Costs After the Budget
Enter a reg for its free report: road tax band, fuel cost, MOT history and recorded mileage. Buying one? The full history check (outstanding finance, write-off, stolen) is £4.99.
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